Serie A · Matchweek 7
Fiorentina
FIO
Como
COM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fiorentina27%
Draw26%
Como47%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.68
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.3%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Como will have the ball; Fiorentina will not mind.
45%Possession61%
49%Territory52%
11%From set plays19%
0.13Chance quality0.08
5.4%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fiorentina, 3 for Como. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fiorentina
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.