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Serie A · Matchweek 5

Frosinone

FRO

Como

COM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Frosinone19%
Draw23%
Como58%

Expected goals

1.04 – 1.91

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0110.6%
  • 1110.4%
  • 1210.0%
  • 029.4%
  • 136.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Como will have the ball; Frosinone will not mind.

45%Possession61%
44%Territory52%
38%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.8%Directness3.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frosinone, 3 for Como. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.