Superligaen · Matchweek 22
Lyngby
LYN
FC København
FCK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lyngby31%
Draw25%
FC København43%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.66
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–17.4%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession48%
49%Territory32%
18%From set plays22%
0.15Chance quality0.13
5.5%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lyngby, 4 for FC København. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.