Superligaen · Matchweek 21
Sønderjyske
SND
Lyngby
LYN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sønderjyske42%
Draw25%
Lyngby34%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.53
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.7%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession46%
40%Territory40%
35%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.13
5.9%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sønderjyske, 3 for Lyngby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sønderjyske
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.