Superligaen · Matchweek 21
Sønderjyske
SND
Lyngby
LYN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sønderjyske34%
Draw26%
Lyngby41%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.62
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–17.9%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession47%
35%Territory49%
28%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.15
7.7%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sønderjyske, 3 for Lyngby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.