Superligaen · Matchweek 20
Lyngby
LYN
AC Horsens
ACH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lyngby41%
Draw26%
AC Horsens33%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.37
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AC Horsens get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession53%
49%Territory34%
18%From set plays51%
0.15Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lyngby, 3 for AC Horsens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.