Superligaen · Matchweek 20
Lyngby
LYN
AC Horsens
ACH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lyngby38%
Draw24%
AC Horsens38%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.75
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 2–18.0%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–05.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession53%
40%Territory45%
29%From set plays44%
0.13Chance quality0.13
5.7%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lyngby, 3 for AC Horsens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.