Superligaen · Matchweek 19
OB
OB
Lyngby
LYN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OB44%
Draw25%
Lyngby31%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.38
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–27.3%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession46%
35%Territory40%
27%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.13
6.0%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OB, 3 for Lyngby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.