Superligaen · Matchweek 18
Lyngby
LYN
Brøndby IF
BRN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lyngby26%
Draw22%
Brøndby IF53%
Expected goals
1.51 – 2.17
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
70%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.0%
- 1–18.5%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–36.3%
- 2–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession51%
40%Territory44%
29%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.20
5.7%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lyngby, 3 for Brøndby IF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.