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Superligaen · Matchweek 17

Nordsjælland

NOR

Lyngby

LYN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Nordsjælland61%
Draw20%
Lyngby19%

Expected goals

2.34 – 1.32

Over 2.5

70%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–18.1%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 1–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nordsjælland will have the ball; Lyngby will not mind.

55%Possession46%
40%Territory40%
22%From set plays29%
0.14Chance quality0.13
5.2%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nordsjælland, 3 for Lyngby. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.