Superligaen · Matchweek 17
Nordsjælland
NOR
Lyngby
LYN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nordsjælland51%
Draw24%
Lyngby25%
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.27
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession47%
31%Territory49%
9%From set plays18%
0.14Chance quality0.15
4.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Nordsjælland, 3 for Lyngby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nordsjælland
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.