Skip to content

Superligaen · Matchweek 16

Lyngby

LYN

Viborg

VIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lyngby32%
Draw26%
Viborg42%

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.63

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

46%Possession51%
40%Territory41%
29%From set plays17%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lyngby, 3 for Viborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.