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Superligaen · Matchweek 16

Lyngby

LYN

Viborg

VIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lyngby37%
Draw28%
Viborg35%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.34

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 109.4%
  • 019.0%
  • 218.3%
  • 128.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession51%
49%Territory46%
18%From set plays23%
0.15Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lyngby, 3 for Viborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.