Superligaen · Matchweek 16
Lyngby
LYN
Viborg
VIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lyngby32%
Draw26%
Viborg42%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.63
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–17.5%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession51%
40%Territory41%
29%From set plays17%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lyngby, 3 for Viborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.