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Superligaen · Matchweek 15

AGF

AGF

Lyngby

LYN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AGF42%
Draw26%
Lyngby33%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.43

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.2%
  • 218.8%
  • 108.2%
  • 127.7%
  • 017.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AGF will have the ball; Lyngby will not mind.

57%Possession47%
42%Territory49%
14%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.15
3.5%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for AGF, 3 for Lyngby. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.