Superligaen · Matchweek 15
AGF
AGF
Lyngby
LYN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AGF48%
Draw24%
Lyngby27%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.36
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–06.8%
- 1–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession46%
37%Territory40%
24%From set plays29%
0.12Chance quality0.13
4.4%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for AGF, 3 for Lyngby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.