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Superligaen · Matchweek 14

Silkeborg

SIL

Lyngby

LYN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Silkeborg38%
Draw27%
Lyngby35%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.39

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

46%Possession46%
33%Territory40%
23%From set plays29%
0.07Chance quality0.13
3.9%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Silkeborg, 3 for Lyngby. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 77 matches, not the full season.