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Superligaen · Matchweek 9

Lyngby

LYN

Silkeborg

SIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lyngby47%
Draw26%
Silkeborg27%

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.23

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.5%
  • 109.7%
  • 219.4%
  • 207.4%
  • 016.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession45%
49%Territory36%
18%From set plays22%
0.15Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lyngby, 3 for Silkeborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.