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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 30

Västerås SK

VST

Hammarby

HAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Västerås SK16%
Draw21%
Hammarby63%

Expected goals

1.06 – 2.17

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–29.3%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 1–19.1%
  • 1–37.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hammarby will have the ball; Västerås SK will not mind.

48%Possession63%
41%Territory54%
38%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.14
6.0%Directness3.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Västerås SK, 3 for Hammarby. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.