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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 30

Västerås SK

VST

Hammarby

HAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Västerås SK24%
Draw28%
Hammarby49%

Expected goals

0.98 – 1.48

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.1%
  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hammarby will have the ball; Västerås SK will not mind.

52%Possession62%
41%Territory52%
16%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.1%Directness2.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Västerås SK, 4 for Hammarby.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.