Allsvenskan · Matchweek 30
Degerfors
DEG
Örgryte
RGR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Degerfors57%
Draw24%
Örgryte19%
Expected goals
1.81 – 0.97
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Degerfors will have the ball; Örgryte will not mind.
49%Possession40%
40%Territory26%
26%From set plays78%
0.07Chance quality0.23
6.5%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Degerfors, 3 for Örgryte. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Degerfors
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.