Allsvenskan · Matchweek 30
Degerfors
DEG
Örgryte
RGR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Degerfors31%
Draw27%
Örgryte42%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.51
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Degerfors will have the ball; Örgryte will not mind.
51%Possession38%
38%Territory39%
43%From set plays27%
0.07Chance quality0.10
6.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Degerfors, 4 for Örgryte.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 215 matches, not the full season.