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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 29

GAIS

GAI

Västerås SK

VST

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

GAIS47%
Draw28%
Västerås SK25%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.00

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1013.0%
  • 1112.6%
  • 009.8%
  • 219.1%
  • 018.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Västerås SK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession48%
45%Territory41%
8%From set plays38%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for GAIS, 3 for Västerås SK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.