Allsvenskan · Matchweek 28
Degerfors
DEG
GAIS
GAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Degerfors31%
Draw32%
GAIS37%
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.10
Over 2.5
35%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–014.0%
- 0–113.8%
- 1–113.6%
- 1–012.1%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Degerfors get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession51%
40%Territory45%
26%From set plays8%
0.07Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Degerfors, 3 for GAIS. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Degerfors
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.