Allsvenskan · Matchweek 28
Degerfors
DEG
GAIS
GAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Degerfors21%
Draw26%
GAIS53%
Expected goals
0.99 – 1.66
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.3%
- 1–111.6%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–29.5%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession50%
38%Territory39%
43%From set plays52%
0.07Chance quality0.09
6.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Degerfors, 3 for GAIS. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.