Allsvenskan · Matchweek 28
Örgryte
RGR
Västerås SK
VST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Örgryte25%
Draw24%
Västerås SK51%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.85
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–27.4%
- 2–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Örgryte get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
40%Possession48%
26%Territory41%
78%From set plays38%
0.23Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Örgryte, 3 for Västerås SK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.