Allsvenskan · Matchweek 28
AIK
AIK
Häcken
HCK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AIK26%
Draw25%
Häcken49%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.77
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–27.4%
- 2–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession52%
35%Territory46%
16%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AIK, 4 for Häcken. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.