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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 28

AIK

AIK

Häcken

HCK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AIK35%
Draw26%
Häcken39%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.57

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.3%
  • 128.6%
  • 018.0%
  • 217.9%
  • 107.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Häcken get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

55%Possession52%
30%Territory45%
7%From set plays30%
0.13Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for AIK, 3 for Häcken. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.