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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 27

Västerås SK

VST

Brommapojkarna

BRO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Västerås SK45%
Draw28%
Brommapojkarna27%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.10

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 0–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Västerås SK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession44%
41%Territory30%
38%From set plays8%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Västerås SK, 3 for Brommapojkarna. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.