Allsvenskan · Matchweek 27
GAIS
GAI
AIK
AIK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
GAIS49%
Draw25%
AIK26%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.19
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
GAIS get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession49%
39%Territory35%
52%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for GAIS, 3 for AIK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.