Allsvenskan · Matchweek 26
AIK
AIK
Elfsborg
ELF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AIK37%
Draw28%
Elfsborg36%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.34
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession54%
30%Territory39%
7%From set plays13%
0.13Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for AIK, 3 for Elfsborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.