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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 25

Västerås SK

VST

Halmstads BK

HAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Västerås SK54%
Draw26%
Halmstads BK20%

Expected goals

1.62 – 0.93

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1013.2%
  • 1111.8%
  • 2010.0%
  • 219.6%
  • 008.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession49%
41%Territory33%
38%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Västerås SK, 3 for Halmstads BK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.