Allsvenskan · Matchweek 25
Sirius
SIR
AIK
AIK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sirius57%
Draw23%
AIK21%
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.17
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–08.4%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AIK will have the ball; Sirius will not mind.
46%Possession55%
42%Territory30%
29%From set plays7%
0.09Chance quality0.13
5.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sirius, 4 for AIK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.