Allsvenskan · Matchweek 25
Häcken
HCK
Degerfors
DEG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Häcken51%
Draw27%
Degerfors21%
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.92
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.8%
- 1–112.2%
- 2–09.7%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession49%
45%Territory40%
30%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.0%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Häcken, 3 for Degerfors. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Degerfors
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.