Allsvenskan · Matchweek 24
Degerfors
DEG
Kalmar FF
KAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Degerfors32%
Draw32%
Kalmar FF36%
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.08
Over 2.5
35%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–014.0%
- 1–113.6%
- 0–113.4%
- 1–012.4%
- 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession52%
40%Territory43%
26%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Degerfors, 3 for Kalmar FF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Degerfors
Kalmar FF
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.