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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 24

AIK

AIK

IFK Göteborg

IFK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AIK37%
Draw26%
IFK Göteborg37%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.51

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 1–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

IFK Göteborg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

55%Possession50%
30%Territory49%
7%From set plays39%
0.13Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for AIK, 3 for IFK Göteborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.