Allsvenskan · Matchweek 23
IFK Göteborg
IFK
Västerås SK
VST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
IFK Göteborg48%
Draw26%
Västerås SK26%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.15
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession48%
49%Territory41%
39%From set plays38%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for IFK Göteborg, 3 for Västerås SK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.