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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 23

AIK

AIK

Brommapojkarna

BRO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AIK46%
Draw26%
Brommapojkarna28%

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.23

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AIK will have the ball; Brommapojkarna will not mind.

55%Possession44%
30%Territory30%
7%From set plays8%
0.13Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for AIK, 3 for Brommapojkarna. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.