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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 22

Halmstads BK

HAL

AIK

AIK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Halmstads BK30%
Draw27%
AIK43%

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.50

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Halmstads BK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession55%
33%Territory30%
29%From set plays7%
0.10Chance quality0.13
4.4%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Halmstads BK, 4 for AIK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.