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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 22

Degerfors

DEG

Hammarby

HAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Degerfors15%
Draw22%
Hammarby63%

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.98

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.0%
  • 0–211.2%
  • 1–19.9%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–37.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hammarby will have the ball; Degerfors will not mind.

49%Possession63%
40%Territory54%
26%From set plays33%
0.07Chance quality0.14
6.5%Directness3.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Degerfors, 3 for Hammarby. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.