Major League Soccer · Matchweek 34
CF Montréal
CFM
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montreal24%
Draw28%
Vancouver48%
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.47
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.2%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–09.7%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession47%
34%Territory35%
44%From set plays19%
0.07Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Montreal, 3 for Vancouver. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Montreal
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 495 matches, not the full season.