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Major League Soccer · Matchweek 34

Inter Miami CF

INT

Charlotte FC

CHA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Inter Miami CF43%
Draw29%
Charlotte FC28%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.08

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 0–09.9%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

53%Possession45%
45%Territory34%
9%From set plays25%
0.08Chance quality0.15
5.5%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Inter Miami CF, 3 for Charlotte FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 495 matches, not the full season.