Major League Soccer · Matchweek 32
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
San Diego FC
SAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vancouver68%
Draw19%
San Diego FC13%
Expected goals
2.26 – 0.93
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–18.6%
- 3–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession55%
43%Territory43%
24%From set plays19%
0.13Chance quality0.13
5.1%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vancouver, 3 for San Diego FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.