Major League Soccer · Matchweek 32
Inter Miami CF
INT
FC Cincinnati
FCC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter Miami CF59%
Draw20%
Cincinnati21%
Expected goals
2.39 – 1.44
Over 2.5
72%
Both to score
70%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.0%
- 1–17.7%
- 3–17.0%
- 2–26.4%
- 2–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession51%
42%Territory41%
13%From set plays79%
0.12Chance quality0.05
4.3%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Inter Miami CF, 2 for Cincinnati. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.