Major League Soccer · Matchweek 30
Atlanta United
ATL
Inter Miami CF
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlanta United49%
Draw23%
Inter Miami CF27%
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.45
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession56%
44%Territory42%
14%From set plays13%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.5%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlanta United, 3 for Inter Miami CF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlanta United
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.