Major League Soccer · Matchweek 29
Inter Miami CF
INT
New York City FC
NEY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter Miami CF49%
Draw25%
NYCFC26%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.19
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession56%
42%Territory35%
13%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.07
4.3%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Inter Miami CF, 2 for NYCFC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.