Major League Soccer · Matchweek 28
Los Angeles FC
LOS
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LAFC38%
Draw26%
Vancouver36%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.45
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–28.1%
- 0–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession52%
42%Territory43%
22%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.13
6.0%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LAFC, 3 for Vancouver. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.