Major League Soccer · Matchweek 28
Inter Miami CF
INT
DC United
DCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter Miami CF42%
Draw27%
DC United31%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.32
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession30%
42%Territory35%
13%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.15
4.3%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Inter Miami CF, 2 for DC United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.