Major League Soccer · Matchweek 27
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
DC United
DCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vancouver56%
Draw25%
DC United19%
Expected goals
1.68 – 0.91
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.2%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession30%
43%Territory35%
24%From set plays21%
0.13Chance quality0.15
5.1%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vancouver, 2 for DC United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.