Major League Soccer · Matchweek 27
Columbus Crew
COU
Inter Miami CF
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Columbus45%
Draw25%
Inter Miami CF30%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.39
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.2%
- 0–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
62%Possession56%
48%Territory42%
9%From set plays13%
0.12Chance quality0.12
4.9%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Columbus, 3 for Inter Miami CF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.