Major League Soccer · Matchweek 26
Inter Miami CF
INT
San Diego FC
SAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter Miami CF54%
Draw22%
San Diego FC24%
Expected goals
2.07 – 1.35
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.5%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–07.3%
- 2–07.0%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession55%
42%Territory43%
13%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.13
4.3%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Inter Miami CF, 3 for San Diego FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.