Major League Soccer · Matchweek 26
Real Salt Lake
REA
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salt Lake32%
Draw27%
Vancouver41%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.50
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession52%
49%Territory43%
36%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.13
3.5%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salt Lake, 3 for Vancouver. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.