Primera División · Clausura - Round 16
Unión
UNI
Vélez Sarsfield
VLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Unión40%
Draw25%
Vélez Sarsfield35%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.54
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–07.3%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession47%
36%Territory35%
28%From set plays41%
0.09Chance quality0.12
9.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Unión, 2 for Vélez Sarsfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.