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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 16

Unión

UNI

Vélez Sarsfield

VLE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Unión33%
Draw26%
Vélez Sarsfield41%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.62

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Vélez Sarsfield will have the ball; Unión will not mind.

47%Possession61%
42%Territory45%
47%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.10
9.7%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Unión, 3 for Vélez Sarsfield. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 221 matches, not the full season.