Primera División · Clausura - Round 15
Lanús
LAN
Gimnasia Mendoza
GIM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lanús53%
Draw23%
Gimnasia Mendoza25%
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.37
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–07.4%
- 2–06.9%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession51%
40%Territory40%
43%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.6%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lanús, 3 for Gimnasia Mendoza. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gimnasia Mendoza
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.