Primera División · Clausura - Round 14
Central Córdoba de Santiago
CEN
Vélez Sarsfield
VLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Central Córdoba de Santiago31%
Draw26%
Vélez Sarsfield43%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.64
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.4%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession47%
36%Territory35%
27%From set plays41%
0.06Chance quality0.12
9.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Central Córdoba de Santiago, 2 for Vélez Sarsfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Central Córdoba de Santiago
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.