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Primera División · Clausura - Round 14

Gimnasia Mendoza

GIM

Club Atlético Platense

CLU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gimnasia Mendoza38%
Draw29%
Club Atlético Platense34%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.23

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.8%
  • 1010.6%
  • 019.8%
  • 009.1%
  • 218.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession51%
40%Territory40%
24%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.07
6.4%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gimnasia Mendoza, 3 for Club Atlético Platense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.