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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 11

Vélez Sarsfield

VLE

Club Atlético Platense

CLU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Vélez Sarsfield43%
Draw29%
Club Atlético Platense28%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.08

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

47%Possession51%
35%Territory40%
41%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.07
6.0%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Vélez Sarsfield, 3 for Club Atlético Platense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Club Atlético Platense

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.