Liga MX · Matchweek 17
Querétaro FC
QUE
Necaxa
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Querétaro40%
Draw26%
Necaxa35%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.47
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.0%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession47%
42%Territory38%
12%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Querétaro, 4 for Necaxa.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 134 matches, not the full season.