Liga MX · Matchweek 17
Querétaro FC
QUE
Necaxa
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Querétaro47%
Draw26%
Necaxa27%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.20
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
39%Possession48%
43%Territory33%
3%From set plays45%
0.14Chance quality0.12
10.1%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Querétaro, 3 for Necaxa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.