Liga MX · Matchweek 17
Pachuca
PAC
Toluca
TOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pachuca38%
Draw26%
Toluca36%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.51
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Toluca will have the ball; Pachuca will not mind.
46%Possession64%
40%Territory51%
16%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.09
8.0%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Pachuca, 4 for Toluca.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Pachuca
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 134 matches, not the full season.