Liga MX · Matchweek 17
Puebla
PUE
Atlético de San Luis
ATT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Puebla43%
Draw29%
San Luis28%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.07
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–012.2%
- 0–09.8%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Puebla get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession46%
47%Territory33%
50%From set plays10%
0.05Chance quality0.09
7.9%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Puebla, 3 for San Luis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.