Liga MX · Matchweek 17
Puebla
PUE
Atlético de San Luis
ATT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Puebla39%
Draw29%
San Luis32%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.19
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession49%
38%Territory36%
25%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Puebla, 4 for San Luis.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 134 matches, not the full season.